WINBUGS Manual (pdf file)
WINBUGS Manual With Page Numbers!! (pdf file)
Simon Jackman's WINBUGS Examples
EPSILON HomePage -- Lugaru Software Ltd.
Useful Epsilon Commands and Examples
An Introduction to R.
(Reference Work by R Development Core Team)
Using R for Data Analysis and Graphics: An
Introduction.
(Reference Work by J. H. Maindonald on R Graphics)
Probability Distributions in R
PCH Symbols in R
Octal References for Math Symbols that can be used in PlotMath in R
Likelihood Function Confusions
Binomial Likelihood Function, Beta Prior
Distribution
Chap_1_studentdata.r
-- Simple R Program that sets up studentdata in the LearnBayes package for pages 2-8 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_1_t_statistic_example.r
-- R Program that sets up the t-distribution simulations discussed on pages 8 - 13 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_1.r
-- R Program to do Problem 1 of Chapter 1 on page 15 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_2.r
-- R Program to do Problem 2 of Chapter 1 on page 15 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_3.r
-- R Program to do Problem 3 of Chapter 1 on pages 15-16 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_2_Prior.r
-- R Program to do work example on pages 21 - 23 of Chapter 2 in
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_2_Prior_2.r
-- R Program to do work beta priors and posterior example on pages 23 - 25 of Chapter 2 in
Bayesian Computation with R
Undervote for WINBUGS (PDF) --
Demonstrates Differences in rates of Undervoting
Undervote.odc -- WINBUGS
program demonstrating Differences in rates of Undervoting (code by Simon Jackman)
Cigarette Example for WINBUGS (PDF) --
Demonstrates Differences in rates of Lung Cancer by Smoking
Cancer.odc -- WINBUGS
program demonstrating Differences in rates of Lung Cancer by Smoking (code by Simon Jackman)
First Homework Assignment
Homework 1 Answers (PDF)
Problem_Chap_1_1.r
-- R Program to do Problem 1 of Chapter 1 on page 16 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_2.r
-- R Program to do Problem 2 of Chapter 1 on page 16 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_3.r
-- R Program to do Problem 3 of Chapter 1 on page 16 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_4.r
-- R Program to do Problem 4 of Chapter 1 on page 16 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_1_5.r
-- R Program to do Problem 5 of Chapter 1 on pages 16 - 17 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Second Homework Assignment
Homework 2 Answers (PDF)
Problem_Chap_2_1.r
-- R Program to do Problem 1 of Chapter 2 on page of 35
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_2_2.r
-- R Program to do Problem 2 of Chapter 2 on pages 35-36 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_2_3.r
-- R Program to do Problem 3 of Chapter 2 on page 36 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_2_4.r
-- R Program to do Problem 4 of Chapter 2 on page 36 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_2_5.r
-- R Program to do Problem 5 of Chapter 2 on pages 36-37 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Week One Part One (MP3
file for first hour and a half -- 108meg)
Week One Part Two (MP3
file for second hour and a half -- 87meg)
Third Homework Assignment
Homework 3 Answers (PDF)
Problem_Chap_3_1.r
-- R Program to do Problem 1 of Chapter 3 on page 58 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Reagan Presidential Support Example for WINBUGS (PDF) --
Demonstrates AR(1) effects on Presidential Support
Reagan.odc -- WINBUGS
program demonstrating AR(1) Effects on Reagan Approval Ratings (code by Simon Jackman)
Presidential Turnout Example for WINBUGS (PDF) --
Demonstrates Effects on Voter Turnout
turnout2005.odc -- WINBUGS
program demonstrating Effects on Voter Turnout (code by Simon Jackman)
105th House Simple Logit Example for WINBUGS (PDF) --
Demonstrates How to use Logit in WINBUGS
h105_BUGS_Logit_Model.txt --
WINBUGS
program demonstrating Logit
h105_BUGS_Probit_Model.txt --
WINBUGS
program demonstrating Probit (This may blow up!!!)
h105_BUGS_data_example.txt --
data for WINBUGS program demonstrating Logit/Probit
h105_probit_inits.txt --
Initial values for the Betas for 3 chains
105th House Simple Probit Example for WINBUGS,
glm in R, and Optim in R (PDF) --
Demonstrates How to use glm and optim in R
house_105_example.r --
R
program demonstrating Probit
h105_example.raw --
data from outfile of STATA data for R
program demonstrating Probit
How to do the Fourth Homework Assignment
Fourth Homework Assignment
Fifth Homework Assignment
Homework 5 Answers (PDF)
Problem_Chap_3_5.r
-- R Program to do Problem 5 of Chapter 3 on pages 59-60 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Problem_Chap_4_1.r
-- R Program to do Problem 1 of Chapter 4 on pages 81-82 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_4_Figure_4_1.r
-- R Program that produces Figure 4.1 on page 65 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_4_Figure_4_2.r
-- R Program that produces Figure 4.2 on page 67 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_4_Figure_4_3.r
-- R Program that produces Figure 4.3 on page 69 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_4_Figure_4_4-8.r
-- R Program that produces Figures 4.5 to 4.8 on pages 69 - 76 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_4_Figure_4_9-10.r
-- R Program that produces Figures 4.9 and 4.10 on pages 75 - 79 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Conjugate Prior Distributions (PDF) --
Lists Basic Families of Conjugate Prior Distributions
h106_Probit_BUGS_Model.txt --
WINBUGS program Using Bush 2000 vote by 106th House Districts
to demonstrate Probit design that will not blow up!!!
h106_BUGS_data_example.txt --
data for WINBUGS program demonstrating Probit
h106_probit_inits.txt --
Initial values for the Betas and deltas for 3 chains
Bush 2000 Vote Using 106th House District Voting Data (PDF) --
Illustrates Probit model WINBUGS (that will not blow up!) and glm in
R
house_106_example.r --
R program demonstrating Probit
h106_example.raw --
data from outfile of STATA data for R
program demonstrating Probit
Gary King Model (PDF) --
Gary King's Responsiveness and Partisan Bias Model -- With WINBUGS and
R Programs
Web Page For Gary King Example (from 2006)
king_england_royce_bayes.r --
R Program to run King Model (updated, 2009)
king_multinomial_program.r --
R program written by Ernesto Calvo Using R
interface to WINBUGS to
run the King Model
kingmlogcalvo_mod.txt --
WINBUGS model file for King Model
kingengland.dta --
STATA data file for R
program demonstrating King Model
Output From Calvo's Gary King Model (PDF)
Explanation of DIC From Presentation by
David Spiegelhalter (PDF)
bush_CD_106.r --
R program Using R
interface to WINBUGS to
run the Regression of Bush 2000 by CD on CD Variables
regression_106_model.txt --
WINBUGS model file for Bush 2000 Regression
106_Bush_CD.dta --
STATA data file for R
Bush 2000 Regression
Output From Running Calvo's
R2WINBUGS Code on Bush's 2000 Vote By Congressional District (PDF)
bush_CD_Probit_106.r --
R program Using R
interface to WINBUGS to
run the Probit of Bush 2000 Vote by CD
h106_probit_RtoWINBUGS_model.txt --
WINBUGS model file for Bush 2000 Probit
hdmg106_2009_fixed.dta --
STATA data file for R
Bush 2000 Probit
Output From Running Calvo's
R2WINBUGS Code on the Probit form Bush's 2000 Vote By Congressional District (PDF)
bush_CD_Probit_106_2.r --
R program Using R
interface to WINBUGS to
run the Probit of Bush 2000 Vote by CD -- Data read From Disk
h106_probit_RtoWINBUGS_model.txt --
WINBUGS model file for Bush 2000 Probit
h106_data.txt --
Text file for R
Bush 2000 Probit
Output From Running Calvo's
R2WINBUGS Code on the Probit form Bush's 2000 Vote By Congressional District by Reading the Data off Disk (PDF)
bush_CD_Logit_106.r --
R program Using R
interface to WINBUGS to
run the Logit of Bush 2000 Vote by CD -- Data read From Disk
h106_logit_RtoWINBUGS_model.txt --
WINBUGS model file for Bush 2000 Logit
h106_data.txt --
Text file for R
Bush 2000 Logit
Output From Running Calvo's
R2WINBUGS Code on the Logit form Bush's 2000 Vote By Congressional District by Reading the Data off Disk (PDF)
king_mcmc_methods.r --
R program Using rwmetrop
from the LearnBayes package to do Random-Walk Metropolis-Hastings analysis of the King Model
england_vote_shares.txt --
Vote Shares for King Model
england_seats.txt --
Seat Shares for King Model
Output From Running rwmetrop from the LearnBayes Package
on the King Data (PDF)
king_mcmc_methods_2.r --
R program Using indepmetrop
from the LearnBayes package to do Independence Metropolis-Hastings analysis of the King Model
king_mcmc_methods_3.r --
R program Using gibbs
from the LearnBayes package to do Metropolis-Hastings within Gibbs analysis of the King Model
Sixth Homework Assignment
Seventh Homework Assignment
Eighth Homework Assignment
Chap_5_Figure_5_1-2.r
-- R Program that produces Figures 5.1 and 5.2 on pages 89 - 93 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_5_Figure_5_3.r
-- R Program that produces Figures 5.1 and 5.2 on pages 94 - 96 of
Bayesian Computation with R
Chap_5_MC_Integrals.r
-- R Program that does the forecasting of the heavy sleepers on page 97 of
Bayesian Computation with R
VOTEVIEW Blog
NOMINATE Data, Roll Call Data, and Software
Course Web Pages: University of Georgia (2010 - )
Course Web Pages: UC San Diego (2004 - 2010)
University of San Diego Law School (2005)
Course Web Pages: University of Houston (2000 - 2005)
Course Web Pages: Carnegie-Mellon University (1997 - 2000)
Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R
Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting
Recent Working Papers
Analyses of Recent Politics
About This Website
K7MOA Log Books: 1960 - 2017
Bio of Keith T. Poole
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